Los Angeles Lakers: Will the easy first half schedule prove costly for their title hopes?

With the Lakers' most important games coming later in the season, not only heightens the drama but also avoids conflict with the NFL season.

LeBron James will look to clinch another title with the LA Lakers, Image credit: Twitter
By Amruth Kalidas | Aug 24, 2021 | 4 Min Read follow icon Follow Us

The Los Angeles Lakers frequently have backloaded schedules. With the Lakers’ most important games coming later in the season, not only heightens the drama but also avoids conflict with the NFL season. It probably isn’t a coincidence that the Lakers will play six more nationally televised games in the second half of their schedule (24) than they will in the first (18). If that gap doesn’t seem huge to you, remember that 11 of the 30 NBA teams (almost 37 percent of the league) will play six or fewer nationally televised games in total this season.

A brief look at how the league laid out the season for the Lakers shows one of the sharpest differences in first- and second-half difficulty in all of basketball. Consider the following: 

CAN THE LAKERS BOUNCE BACK?

The Lakers are playing 12 of their first 15 games at home. All three of their road opponents in that span are in the Western Conference, limiting fatigue through travel. In the first half of the season, they will play 26 of a possible 41 games at Staples Center.

They start against three playoff teams. The Lakers then enter a period in which 10 of their next 12 opponents missed the 2021 playoffs. One of those two playoff teams was the Portland Trail Blazers, whose roster is somewhat volatile right now. After facing three playoff teams in four games during an east coast trip, they then get to face eight non-playoff teams in their next 12 games. One of those playoff teams, the Clippers, will presumably be without Kawhi Leonard.

Remember, the NBA cannot just wave a magic wand and give the Lakers an easy schedule. Playing a lot of home games early on means playing a lot of road games later. The same is true of opponent quality. Eventually, these things balance out. But the easy schedule in front of the Lakers to open the season is notable on several levels. 

It’s hard not to compare the road in front of the Lakers this upcoming season to the more hectic one they faced coming off of their 2020 championship. An offseason shortened by COVID-19 gave the Lakers only 72 days of rest before their title defense began. And the Lakers started off just fine, injuries eventually derailed their season. Of course, with so many difficult games waiting for them in the spring, they’re going to have to get wins early on against weaker opponents.

There’s no question fitting Russell Westbrook into the lineup is going to take time. LeBron James knows this first-hand. He started his first season with the Miami Heat 9-8, and when he returned to the Cleveland Cavaliers four years later, they were below .500 after 39 games at 19-20. Star trios need time to get to know one another.

EASY SCHEDULE OR A TOUGH ONE?

One could argue that is ultimately a bad thing for the Lakers. They’d probably prefer to know where their weaknesses lie early on as well as just how severe those weaknesses might be. Beating up the lesser fancied teams in the NBA might not tell them much. It might even give them a false sense of security. Necessity is the mother of invention. The Lakers won’t be able to solve their problems if they don’t believe they have any. 

An absolutely brutal stretch in late January and early February could prove to be a blessing in that sense. At least the Lakers will have seen themselves against elite competition before the trade deadline. By that point, the Lakers will have had plenty of time for lineup tinkering and will have a sense of who’s going to hold significant playoff roles and who won’t.

The end of the regular season is going to be a nice test drive for them from that perspective. The Lakers close with Phoenix, Golden State and Denver twice. If top seeds are still up for grabs at that point, those final regular-season tests will carry postseason intensity. 

NBA scheduling is never as simple as it looks in the offseason. Some of those early opponents will be better than expected. Some of the later ones will be worse. Injuries will impact both sides of the equation, and even an extremely favourable schedule is unlikely to net a team more than a few extra wins over the course of an entire season. The Lakers are ultimately going to be as good as they were going to be regardless of who is in front of them. Teams with their talent control their own destiny. 

But that doesn’t make their schedule any less fascinating. It’s almost impossible to build such a gap between the first half of a team’s schedule and the second in an 82-game season.





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